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The Asean+3 economies are stronger and more resilient today than they were in the late 1990s. As a result, tighter US monetary policy may lead to higher borrowing costs and trigger portfolio outflows similar to the “taper tantrum” of 2013, but a full-blown 1997-style financial crisis in Asia is unlikely
5 Aug 2022
Markets and central banks confidently expect a comfortable new “Goldilocks” era for the global economy that will allow everyone to live happily ever after. But investors’ sanguine outlook rests on four cognitive biases
3 Aug 2022
The longstanding argument that go-go Keynesian fiscal stimulus is the answer to every imaginable economic shock has been exposed as bankrupt. Nevertheless, readjustment of both monetary and fiscal policy needs to take place gradually if we are to avoid an epic recession
2 Aug 2022
Hayden Briscoe brings extensive experience from across Asia-Pacific region
1 Aug 2022
Is it reasonable to ask whether Barclays, whose earnings were out last week, has been knocking a little too often on the door of the exclusive club of accident-prone European banks?
1 Aug 2022
In gatherings this summer and later this year, G20 member states will confront a raft of global issues that require their attention and cooperation. But while inter-governmental cooperation is crucial, so, too, are strategies to leverage the ingenuity and capacity of businesses and the financial industry.
31 Jul 2022
The European Central Bank’s new Transmission Protection Instrument is as ambitious as it is risky. Not only does it involve the central bank in tasks that lie far outside its remit, but it has also been unveiled at a time when monetary policymakers should be focused squarely on maintaining price stability
30 Jul 2022
Even though developing countries' debt burdens have increased only moderately overall, the flow of funds they receive from capital markets has remained dismally low. Now that global financial conditions are tightening, advanced economies should extend a helping hand using the tools that they already have available
27 Jul 2022
With the world beset by climate change, pandemics, and a shocking new war in Europe – to say nothing of mounting inequality and related social and political tensions – globalization’s defences are in tatters. And China may well have the most to lose
26 Jul 2022
One reason why the earlier asset purchase programme of the European Central Bank (ECB) was never used is that fiscally fragile governments were reluctant to submit to its robust eligibility requirements. But following the rollout of a new programme that comes with much looser conditions, the balance has shifted
25 Jul 2022
rising geopolitical tension and uncertainty from inflation mean the volatile trading environment could well extend into the second half of 2022
23 Jul 2022
There is much debate about the effectiveness of Western sanctions, the Ukraine war’s implications for markets and the global economy, and what the West’s next steps should be. While there are few good options, some are clearly worse than others
22 Jul 2022
Because America's sky-high inflation rate is driven heavily by supply-side shortages, it will not be brought down by demand-suppressing monetary policies. The situation cries out for measures to ease supply-side bottlenecks and increase the number of available, willing workers
22 Jul 2022
When Sri Lanka’s Rajapaksa family returned to power in 2019, it was riding a wave of support that it sought to sustain with popular but ill-advised economic handouts. By definition, unsustainable policies eventually run into a wall
22 Jul 2022
A new round of European sanctions set to target Russian oil imports by the end of the year could push energy prices even higher – potentially triggering a global recession. But US treasury secretary Janet Yellen has a promising way to avoid this outcome
21 Jul 2022